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There’s no returning to business as usual — geopolitical scenarios shaping a post-COVID-19 world
By Job C. Henning, Managing Partner, Auxano Strategies and formerly advisor to the National Intelligence Council, co-director of the US Congressional Commission, the Project on National Security Reform
Jeffrey Saunders, Founder, Nordic Foresight, Associated Partner, Behavioural Strategy and former Director, Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies, former advisor at the Office of the Secretary of Defense, Stability Operations
Michal Koran, President, Global Arena Research Institute, Czech Technical University — Czech Institute of Informatics, Robotics and Cybernetics, Assistant Professor Masaryk University, Researcher, and former Deputy Executive Director, Aspen Institute Central Europe
As nations scramble to respond to COVID-19 — the worst global crisis since World War II — initial responses have understandably been locally and nationally focused. Many have urged a more multilateral response, but to do what? Even though the pandemic was inevitable, there are no plans for this. As of yet, it has been difficult to model the course of the crisis, given the number of uncertainties. Much of the analysis that is currently being presented has been concerned with the viability of particular pandemic policy recommendations, not with the…